Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 11.624340 13.602849 15.765086 18.296822 21.172849 24.331187 28.054589
2025-06-29 7.992365 10.585572 13.722826 17.764901 22.798335 28.820897 36.529033
2025-07-06 5.799806 8.505461 12.059385 16.996697 23.593876 32.011058 43.452275
2025-07-13 4.952825 7.882978 11.991034 18.041844 26.571928 37.989616 54.210553
2025-07-20 4.296688 7.355249 11.896231 18.931285 29.311041 43.773664 65.085306
2025-07-27 3.708901 6.796099 11.628880 19.468264 31.517122 48.913119 75.381476
2025-08-03 3.157037 6.178883 11.155602 19.586766 33.048221 53.131132 84.593883
2025-08-10 2.621686 5.481879 10.435826 19.193062 33.699768 56.031333 91.999902
2025-08-17 2.168520 4.841341 9.705188 18.664188 34.036734 58.413240 98.708878
2025-08-24 1.788884 4.263403 8.991277 18.055661 34.144809 60.388644 104.849557
2025-08-31 1.452816 3.702710 8.219560 17.234131 33.781084 61.530678 109.680670
2025-09-07 1.316410 3.540187 8.183253 17.745824 35.761594 66.625695 121.167332
2025-09-14 1.142340 3.277271 7.948257 17.931684 37.320661 71.367995 132.813459
2025-09-21 0.942404 2.910380 7.448926 17.557451 37.856465 74.474501 142.080463
2025-09-28 0.752850 2.516725 6.818493 16.822167 37.617417 76.180380 149.045123
2025-10-05 0.705478 2.492031 7.019897 17.862702 40.932820 84.509732 168.122880
2025-10-12 0.652919 2.439066 7.144249 18.745371 44.002509 92.580596 187.198170
2025-10-19 0.588013 2.331635 7.116038 19.277946 46.394229 99.528451 204.623845
2025-10-26 0.512811 2.169789 6.920471 19.395473 47.918233 104.910958 219.461680
2025-11-02 0.428878 1.951560 6.534596 19.005106 48.306149 108.098939 230.361411
2025-11-09 0.354040 1.738383 6.119411 18.480724 48.336967 110.562248 239.999208
2025-11-16 0.289378 1.538017 5.698446 17.877385 48.119091 112.488324 248.681328
2025-11-23 0.230568 1.335437 5.225203 17.062898 47.320483 113.145194 254.882416